Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.144051 0.163829 0.185718 0.211807 0.242141 0.276398 0.318159
2026-02-01 0.111499 0.137549 0.169175 0.210685 0.264162 0.331307 0.422903
2026-02-08 0.092049 0.120264 0.156853 0.208372 0.279995 0.377457 0.522564
2026-02-15 0.078755 0.107616 0.147039 0.205756 0.292596 0.418887 0.621299
2026-02-22 0.071015 0.100878 0.143555 0.210344 0.314738 0.475980 0.752583
2026-03-01 0.062982 0.092404 0.136073 0.207341 0.324137 0.514212 0.860396
2026-03-08 0.057189 0.086400 0.131277 0.207397 0.337764 0.560611 0.990344
2026-03-15 0.052347 0.081207 0.126958 0.207354 0.350773 0.607463 1.129999
2026-03-22 0.049138 0.078196 0.125677 0.212038 0.372395 0.672808 1.318589
2026-03-29 0.046066 0.075037 0.123710 0.215110 0.391295 0.735889 1.516227
2026-04-05 0.043295 0.072070 0.121686 0.217700 0.409470 0.800351 1.731341
2026-04-12 0.041197 0.070039 0.121046 0.222705 0.433015 0.879725 1.999396
2026-04-19 0.038588 0.066897 0.118159 0.223192 0.447817 0.944056 2.250642
2026-04-26 0.036110 0.063769 0.114986 0.222735 0.460645 1.006652 2.515423
2026-05-03 0.033665 0.060469 0.111139 0.220375 0.468871 1.060006 2.770344
2026-05-10 0.031426 0.057355 0.107332 0.217602 0.475682 1.111156 3.033763
2026-05-17 0.030207 0.056101 0.107084 0.222494 0.501273 1.214753 3.485419
2026-05-24 0.028294 0.053305 0.103421 0.219293 0.506644 1.266276 3.789802
2026-05-31 0.026856 0.051342 0.101298 0.219353 0.520224 1.343035 4.203346
2026-06-07 0.025527 0.049492 0.099239 0.219308 0.533540 1.421900 4.651888
2026-06-14 0.024717 0.048653 0.099278 0.224301 0.561131 1.548859 5.324347
2026-06-21 0.023824 0.047561 0.098651 0.227575 0.584582 1.668635 6.017138
2026-06-28 0.022951 0.046442 0.097860 0.230336 0.607087 1.790795 6.771124